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Causality

Exogenous Matching: Learning Good Proposals for Tractable Counterfactual Estimation
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Shanghai Key Laboratory of Trustworthy Computing, East China Normal University
Exogenous Matching learns optimal proposals for efficient counterfactual estimation by transforming variance minimization into conditional distribution learning, outperforming existing methods.
Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects by Combining Weak Instruments and Observational Data
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Cornell University
This study develops a novel two-stage framework for accurately predicting conditional average treatment effects using both observational data and weak instrumental variables, overcoming limitations of…
Efficiently Learning Significant Fourier Feature Pairs for Statistical Independence Testing
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Shanghai Key Lab of Intelligent Information Processing, and School of Computer Science, Fudan University
This research introduces LFHSIC, a novel, linear-time independence test that significantly outperforms existing methods, especially for high-dimensional data, by learning optimal Fourier feature pairs…
Efficient Policy Evaluation Across Multiple Different Experimental Datasets
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Purdue University
This paper presents novel graphical criteria and estimators for accurately evaluating policy effectiveness across multiple experimental datasets, even when data distributions differ.
Do Finetti: On Causal Effects for Exchangeable Data
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Max Planck Institute
Causal inference revolutionized: New framework estimates causal effects from exchangeable data, enabling simultaneous causal discovery and effect estimation via the Do-Finetti algorithm.
Disentangled Representation Learning in Non-Markovian Causal Systems
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Columbia University
This paper introduces graphical criteria and an algorithm for disentangling causal factors from heterogeneous data in non-Markovian settings, advancing causal representation learning.
Differentiable Structure Learning with Partial Orders
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 University of Science and Technology of China
This research introduces a novel plug-and-play module that efficiently integrates prior partial order constraints into differentiable structure learning, significantly improving structure recovery qua…
Detecting and Measuring Confounding Using Causal Mechanism Shifts
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Indian Institute of Technology Hyderabad
This paper proposes novel measures to detect and quantify confounding biases from observational data using causal mechanism shifts, even with unobserved confounders.
Covariate Shift Corrected Conditional Randomization Test
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AI Generated AI Theory Causality 🏢 Harvard University
A new Covariate Shift Corrected Pearson Chi-squared Conditional Randomization (csPCR) test accurately assesses conditional independence even when data distributions vary between source and target popu…
Controlling Counterfactual Harm in Decision Support Systems Based on Prediction Sets
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Max Planck Institute for Software Systems
AI decision support systems can unintentionally harm users; this paper introduces a novel framework to design systems that minimize this counterfactual harm, balancing accuracy and user well-being.
Consistency of Neural Causal Partial Identification
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AI Generated AI Theory Causality 🏢 Stanford University
Neural causal models consistently estimate partial causal effects, even with continuous/categorical variables, thanks to Lipschitz regularization.
Conditional Outcome Equivalence: A Quantile Alternative to CATE
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 University of Bristol
Researchers introduce the Conditional Quantile Comparator (CQC) for analyzing heterogeneous treatment effects, offering an improved approach by combining the strengths of CATE and CQTE while overcomin…
Conditional Generative Models are Sufficient to Sample from Any Causal Effect Estimand
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Purdue University
ID-GEN: Sample high-dimensional interventional distributions using any conditional generative model!
Clustering in Causal Attention Masking
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 MIT
Researchers strengthen understanding of transformer self-attention by proving asymptotic convergence to single clusters under causal masking, linking it to the Rényi parking problem.
ChronoEpilogi: Scalable Time Series Selection with Multiple Solutions
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 University of Cergy Paris
ChronoEpilogi efficiently finds all minimal sets of time-series variables optimally predicting a target, improving forecasting while providing crucial insights for knowledge discovery and causal model…
Causal vs. Anticausal merging of predictors
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Amazon
Causal assumptions drastically alter predictor merging, with CMAXENT revealing logistic regression for causal and LDA for anticausal directions.
Causal Inference in the Closed-Loop: Marginal Structural Models for Sequential Excursion Effects
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Carnegie Mellon University
Researchers introduce a non-parametric causal inference framework to analyze closed-loop optogenetics designs, revealing previously hidden causal effects of neural circuit manipulations on behavior.
Causal Effect Identification in a Sub-Population with Latent Variables
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 ETH Zurich
This paper introduces a novel algorithm to accurately compute causal effects within specific sub-populations, even when hidden factors influence the data, advancing causal inference significantly.
Causal Discovery from Event Sequences by Local Cause-Effect Attribution
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 CISPA Helmholtz Center for Information Security
CASCADE algorithm unveils hidden causal structures in event sequences by minimizing description length, surpassing existing Granger causality-based methods.
Automated Efficient Estimation using Monte Carlo Efficient Influence Functions
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AI Theory Causality 🏢 Basis Research Institute
MC-EIF automates efficient statistical estimation for high-dimensional models, integrating seamlessly with existing differentiable probabilistic programming systems and achieving optimal convergence r…